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Wednesday, September 26, 2007

Wednesday Baseball ESPN Pick!


Preview by SBG Global!

MLB Betting Preview
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies
Wednesday, 7:05 pm Eastern – ESPN

SBG Global Opening Line: Braves -120, Total 10 Under (-115)

The Philadelphia Phillies will continue their push to make the National League playoffs as they host the Atlanta Braves on Wednesday. The Phillies are battling the Mets for the division lead in the National League East and the Padres for the Wild Card lead. Philadelphia goes with Kyle Lohse on Wednesday while Atlanta counters with 16-game winner Tim Hudson. SBG Global reports that early betting has the public taking the favored Braves on the Road.

Lohse is 8-12 on the season and has an ERA of 4.71. Lohse had a poor outing just about a week ago when he gave up six earned runs in two innings against the Nationals, but he got a no-decision when the Phillies came back to win. Philadelphia is actually 7-3 in his 10 starts for them this season.

Hudson is 16-9 and has a 3.34 ERA this year. Hudson seems to pitch well for most of the game and then something goes wrong. In his last outing against the Brewers he had thrown 17 straight scoreless innings but then gave up three runs and lost the game. He is 0-1 with a 4.39 ERA in four starts against the Phillies this year.
SBG Global

Current Line: Braves -128, Total 10 Under (-115)

Here were the betting statistics heading into Tuesday’s action. The Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. the National League East. The Braves are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a favorite. The Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Braves are 7-1 in Hudson's last 8 starts as a road favorite. The Braves are 13-5 in Hudson's last 18 starts vs. the National League East. The Braves are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia.

The Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog. The Phillies are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. the National League East. The Phillies are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Phillies are 5-0 in Lohse's last 5 starts. The Phillies are 6-0 in Lohse's last 6 starts vs. the National League East.

The Under is 4-0 in the Braves last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Under is 5-1 in the Braves last 6 games as a favorite. The Over is 29-13-3 in the Braves last 45 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Over is 6-1-1 in Hudson's last 8 starts as a road favorite.

The Over is 4-1 in the Phillies last 5 home games. The Over is 8-3 in the Phillies last 11 games a home underdog. The Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia between the two teams.

Pick: Phillies +110

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