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Thursday, September 27, 2007

Thursday MLB


MLB Betting Preview

San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers

Thursday, 8:05 pm Eastern
SBG Global Opening Line: Brewers -165, Total 9 Flat

The San Diego Padres and Milwaukee Brewers open up a four game series to end the season at Miller Park on Thursday. Both teams are very much in the playoff race and this series may decide which team makes the playoffs and which team does not. San Diego goes with Jack Cassel in the opener while Milwaukee counters with Yovani Gallardo. SBG Global reports that early betting has the public taking the favored Brewers at Home.

Cassel is 1-1 on the season with a 4.00 ERA. Cassel was poor in his last outing allowing three runs on six hits in only 2 and 1/3 innings against Colorado.

Gallardo is 9-4 with a 3.59 ERA on the season. Gallardo had a 21-inning scoreless streak end in his last start against Atlanta but he only gave up two runs on three hits in seven innings. Over his last four starts, he has a 1.03 ERA.

Here were the betting statistics heading into Wednesday’s action. The Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the National League Central. The Padres are 5-2 in their last 7 games as an underdog. The Padres are 3-7 in their last 10 road games. The Padres are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.

SBG Global Current Line: Brewers -168, Total 9 Over (-115)

The Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games. The Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite. The Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. the National League West. The Brewers are 4-1 in Gallardo's last 5 home starts.

The Over is 10-3 in the Padres last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Over is 16-5 in the Padres last 21 road games. The Over is 5-2-1 in the Padres last 8 overall. The Over is 14-5 in the Brewers last 19 home games.
The Over is 5-2-1 in the Brewers last 8 vs. the National League West. The Under is 5-1 in Gallardo's last 6 starts overall. The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Milwaukee between the two teams.

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