Night Card

St. Louis / Detroit Over 9 +100

One thing I like to do is jump on a team that scored in double digits in the last game out. This is a sign that they are hitting the ball well and it tends to continue. The perfect example is the Tribe who did it last week and the hot hitting still continues through the home stand it helped me cash in on a over last night. The bullpens for these two teams both have ERA’s over 5 or greater in the last three appearances and the starters are both over 4 in the last three with Robertson over 6. Reyes is 0-4 on the road this year with an ERA over 5 although his numbers are not that bad of late. Barksdale is behind the plate and he has hit 6 of 9 over the total and has an average of 10 runs per game.

· Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as an underdog.
· Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
· Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 road games.
· Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as a road underdog.
· Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 overall.
· Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 on Grass.
· Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
· Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.
· Under is 16-5 in Cardinals last 21 Saturday games.
· Under is 16-5 in Cardinals last 21 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
· Under is 26-10-2 in Cardinals last 38 games vs. a left-handed starter.
· Over is 18-7 in Cardinals last 25 vs. American League Central.
· Over is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 interleague road games.
· Over is 7-3-2 in Cardinals last 12 games as an underdog of +151 to +200.
· Over is 7-3-1 in Cardinals last 11 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200.
· Over is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 interleague games.
· Under is 16-7 in Cardinals last 23 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
· Over is 22-10 in Cardinals last 32 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.


Here come the dogs:

Blue Jays +139

There is one reason for this play, the Blue Jays can hit lefties therefore the opening line being so high because of Moyer and how he pitches to me is overvalue. Not to mention that the phillies bullpen is still a problem with an ERA over 9 in the last three outings.
Play OnRoad underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TORONTO)with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better on the season, with a rested bullpen - threw 5 innings or less over last 3 games224-214 since 1997.51.1% (86.8 units)


Twins +146

The Brewers are in a tailspin and losing games in bad fashion, hard to think they have turned it around after last nights performance. Tori Hunter is red hot and that makes this dog price very attractive.


When MINNESOTA team played as a Road team - Playing on Saturday - Vs Non Division Opponent - Coming off 1 over - Coming off a night game they are 19-4

When MILWAUKEE team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Last 5 years - During a night game - Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite - Coming off a night game they are 7-16

Play AgainstAny team (MILWAUKEE)starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games77-39 since 1997.66.4% (35.7 units)


Tampa Bay +120

Like the jays this is a play because the Rays can hit lefties. Willis has been very hittable of late and the pens favor the rays so with pitching and hitting on the side of the home dog I can’t pass this up.


Home team is 13-3 in Bell's last 16 Saturday games behind home plate.


When FLORIDA team played as a Road team - After a non division game - Total is between 9.5 to 10.0 - Coming off a Road win - Coming off a night game they are 8-18

When ANY MLB team played as a Home team - Vs. Left handed pitchers - Total is between 9.5 to 10.0 - Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite - Coming off a 1 game loss they are 144-93 (TB)