Baseball Tonight Tuesday
Tuesday baseball
I am going to pass on the first game of the doubleheader although I like the Marlins. Yesterday it hurt me passing on the early side but just can’t go against the Braves in this game, I have a funny feeling that Buddy will pitch well in this one.
Now on to the rest of the games:
Philadelphia +141
In the rematch game I always go against the starter in the first one and the Mets won Glavine’s last start against Moyer, but he won’t today. The Mets still have some health issues, but more importantly I like the way the Phillies are hitting the ball and in a game when I believe the pitchers are even I will take the hitters every time. With the winds blowing strongly out to left this one will be decided by the hitters.
Phillies are 4-0 in Moyer's last 4 starts vs. National League East.
Phillies are 5-0 in Moyer's last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Phillies are 8-1 in Moyer's last 9 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Mets are 2-5 in Glavine's last 7 home starts vs. Phillies
Washington -105
Chacon has been great for Pittsburgh since jumping back in the rotation but there is a bigger problem, Pittsburgh is playing awful. Chacon’s team has lost his last three out of four starts against the Nationals. They have lost five of six overall and the bullpen has an ERA over 8 in its last three appearances.
Play OnAll teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (WASHINGTON)poor NL offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA>=4.50), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest101-62 since 1997.62.0% (41.5 units)
Pirates are 39-81 in their last 120 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Pirates are 26-58 in their last 84 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Nationals are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
Nationals are 10-2 in their last 12 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Nationals are 10-4 in their last 14 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Nationals are 27-13 in their last 40 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
When PITTSBURGH team played as a Road team - During a night game - 1st game of a series - Allowed 6 runs or less AGAINST in their last game - Coming off a 1 run lost they are 8-24
When WASHINGTON team played as a -100 to -120 Home Favorite - Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 - Vs Non Division Opponent - Coming off a Home loss as a Underdog - Coming off a Home loss they are 11-4
Under 8.5 +105 Cubs / Milwaukee
Lilly and Vargas are good starters to be backing an under for in the battle of these two clubs. It helps to have some additional help by the home plate umpire. Wendelstedt is behind the plate and he is an under umpire averaging just over 7 runs per games. The under has hit in five straight games overall, 7-3 in his last ten with the Cubs and 3 of his last four with Milwaukee.
When MILWAUKEE team played as a Home team - Vs Conference Opponent - Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 - Coming off a 1 game push - Scored 2 or more runs FOR in their last game the under is 3-7
When CHICAGO CUBS team Played as Road team as a Underdog - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Vs Division Opponent - Coming off a Road win - Coming off a night game under is 25-16
Rest of the best:
Houston +115
Better pitcher starting this game as Hirsch is horrible with an ERA over 8 In his last three, Astros get the win.
When COLORADO team played as a Home team - Vs. Left handed pitchers - During a night game - Coming off a day game - Coming off a 1 run win they are 3-8
Oakland +145
Play against Dice K who has been shelled of late and DiNardo who has pitched very well. My theory is a team is always jet lagged in game two of a series and after extra innings, the A’s have the sox on the ropes.
When OAKLAND team played as a home team - Last 3 years - During the month of June they are 40-10 (16-3 on Tuesdays)
Angels -1.5 +105 & Over 8 -105
I always like to get on a team that had an offensive outburst the night before. The reason is usually more tha n one player is hot at the plate and the team used plenty of bullpen the night before. Both are true for tonight. On the over the offense is clicking the wind is blowing out to dead center and we have an over umpire.
When MINNESOTA team played as a 160 to 180 road Underdog - 2nd game of a series - Last 5 years the under is 8-2
When LOS ANGELES ANGELS team played as a -180 to -200 home Favorite - Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 - Total is 8.5 they are 12-0
Texas +127
Even with the pitching change this is a good pick and look for the Rangers to tee off on the Tigers tonight.
Play OnHome teams (TEXAS)with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 3 starts207-143 over the last 5 seasons.59.1% (70.0 units)
When DETROIT team played as a Road team - Vs. Right handed pitchers - With 1 day off - Coming off a day game - Coming off a series loss they are 5-14
Dodgers +134
The Dodgers are playing great baseball and Schmidt looked awesome in his last outing in the minors. This is a mismatch and the Dodgers will get this win.
J SCHMIDT is 15-2 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in Road games after giving up 2 or more home runs last outing since 1997.
Play AgainstHome favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (SAN DIEGO)with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts93-83 over the last 5 seasons.52.8% (47.9 units)
I am going to pass on the first game of the doubleheader although I like the Marlins. Yesterday it hurt me passing on the early side but just can’t go against the Braves in this game, I have a funny feeling that Buddy will pitch well in this one.
Now on to the rest of the games:
Philadelphia +141
In the rematch game I always go against the starter in the first one and the Mets won Glavine’s last start against Moyer, but he won’t today. The Mets still have some health issues, but more importantly I like the way the Phillies are hitting the ball and in a game when I believe the pitchers are even I will take the hitters every time. With the winds blowing strongly out to left this one will be decided by the hitters.
Phillies are 4-0 in Moyer's last 4 starts vs. National League East.
Phillies are 5-0 in Moyer's last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Phillies are 8-1 in Moyer's last 9 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Mets are 2-5 in Glavine's last 7 home starts vs. Phillies
Washington -105
Chacon has been great for Pittsburgh since jumping back in the rotation but there is a bigger problem, Pittsburgh is playing awful. Chacon’s team has lost his last three out of four starts against the Nationals. They have lost five of six overall and the bullpen has an ERA over 8 in its last three appearances.
Play OnAll teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (WASHINGTON)poor NL offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA>=4.50), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest101-62 since 1997.62.0% (41.5 units)
Pirates are 39-81 in their last 120 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Pirates are 26-58 in their last 84 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Nationals are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
Nationals are 10-2 in their last 12 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Nationals are 10-4 in their last 14 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Nationals are 27-13 in their last 40 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
When PITTSBURGH team played as a Road team - During a night game - 1st game of a series - Allowed 6 runs or less AGAINST in their last game - Coming off a 1 run lost they are 8-24
When WASHINGTON team played as a -100 to -120 Home Favorite - Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 - Vs Non Division Opponent - Coming off a Home loss as a Underdog - Coming off a Home loss they are 11-4
Under 8.5 +105 Cubs / Milwaukee
Lilly and Vargas are good starters to be backing an under for in the battle of these two clubs. It helps to have some additional help by the home plate umpire. Wendelstedt is behind the plate and he is an under umpire averaging just over 7 runs per games. The under has hit in five straight games overall, 7-3 in his last ten with the Cubs and 3 of his last four with Milwaukee.
When MILWAUKEE team played as a Home team - Vs Conference Opponent - Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 - Coming off a 1 game push - Scored 2 or more runs FOR in their last game the under is 3-7
When CHICAGO CUBS team Played as Road team as a Underdog - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Vs Division Opponent - Coming off a Road win - Coming off a night game under is 25-16
Rest of the best:
Houston +115
Better pitcher starting this game as Hirsch is horrible with an ERA over 8 In his last three, Astros get the win.
When COLORADO team played as a Home team - Vs. Left handed pitchers - During a night game - Coming off a day game - Coming off a 1 run win they are 3-8
Oakland +145
Play against Dice K who has been shelled of late and DiNardo who has pitched very well. My theory is a team is always jet lagged in game two of a series and after extra innings, the A’s have the sox on the ropes.
When OAKLAND team played as a home team - Last 3 years - During the month of June they are 40-10 (16-3 on Tuesdays)
Angels -1.5 +105 & Over 8 -105
I always like to get on a team that had an offensive outburst the night before. The reason is usually more tha n one player is hot at the plate and the team used plenty of bullpen the night before. Both are true for tonight. On the over the offense is clicking the wind is blowing out to dead center and we have an over umpire.
When MINNESOTA team played as a 160 to 180 road Underdog - 2nd game of a series - Last 5 years the under is 8-2
When LOS ANGELES ANGELS team played as a -180 to -200 home Favorite - Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 - Total is 8.5 they are 12-0
Texas +127
Even with the pitching change this is a good pick and look for the Rangers to tee off on the Tigers tonight.
Play OnHome teams (TEXAS)with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 3 starts207-143 over the last 5 seasons.59.1% (70.0 units)
When DETROIT team played as a Road team - Vs. Right handed pitchers - With 1 day off - Coming off a day game - Coming off a series loss they are 5-14
Dodgers +134
The Dodgers are playing great baseball and Schmidt looked awesome in his last outing in the minors. This is a mismatch and the Dodgers will get this win.
J SCHMIDT is 15-2 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in Road games after giving up 2 or more home runs last outing since 1997.
Play AgainstHome favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (SAN DIEGO)with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts93-83 over the last 5 seasons.52.8% (47.9 units)
posted by Poster @ 10:16 AM
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