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Monday, June 04, 2007

KC VS TB
I love Shields and have followed him for a long time and he has made me some money along the way, but today I am going to fade him. In a nutshell I cannot pass up the big price tag they are giving me on a decent pitcher in Meche.

Kansas City +145

After a couple of bad starts Meche rebounded to have a great start against the O’s in his last outing pitching 7 solid innings just giving up one run. That will continue today as he is in two roles that he has done well in this year. On the road he has posted a low ERA of just 1.41 and he has also excelled in day games going 2-1 with an ERA of 2.76. His numbers against the Rays have also been solid. For Tampa its not about Shields he has been awesome.

The royals are starting to hit the ball much better in this series and are a rare 2-0 in game four of a series and if they can get to the bullpen then they will open this game up against the Rays. The pen for the rays has been awful in the last three with an ERA over 6 and has been the downfall for this club against the Royals.

Devil Rays are 17-35 in their last 52 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Devil Rays are 13-28 in their last 41 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Devil Rays are 4-9 in their last 13 games on Astro Turf.
Devil Rays are 16-36 in their last 52 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Devil Rays are 16-37 in their last 53 games following a win.
Devil Rays are 19-45 in their last 64 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Devil Rays are 2-5 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
Devil Rays are 2-5 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Devil Rays are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Devil Rays are 7-18 in their last 25 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Devil Rays are 7-19 in their last 26 Monday games.
Devil Rays are 13-38 in their last 51 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Devil Rays are 13-38 in their last 51 during game 4 of a series.
Devil Rays are 5-11 in Shields' last 16 starts with 4 days of rest.
Devil Rays are 2-7 in Shields' last 9 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Devil Rays are 1-5 in Shields' last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Devil Rays are 1-7 in Shields' last 8 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Road team is 4-1 in Rapuano's last 5 Monday games behind home plate.
Devil Rays are 4-17 in their last 21 games with Rapuano behind home plate. Road team is 6-1 in
Rapuano's last 7 games behind home plate vs. Kansas City

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