Early Games

Atlanta +125

There is no doubt about it these two teams are having a tough go of thins lately, but the Braves did show signs of life scoring more runs in the series than the Brewers did against the Padres. Part of the slide may have been Capuano’s recent performance as he is 0-3 in his last three starts and has an ERA over 9 on his way to giving up 14 earned in his last three starts.

When MILWAUKEE team played as a Home team - After a conference game - After a non division game - Coming off a lost in game 2 of a series - Coming off a day game they are 3-7


When ATLANTA team Played as Road team as a Underdog - Vs NL Conference - Coming off vs. National League opponent - Coming off a Loss vs. NL EAST opponent - Coming off a day game they are 13-6

When ATLANTA team played as a Road team - After a division game - Coming off vs. National League opponent - Coming off a Loss vs. NL EAST opponent - Coming off a 7 run lost they are 7-3

Play Against
Home teams (MILWAUKEE)
with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing

40-22 over the last 5 seasons.
64.5% (25.8 units)

Twins -1.5 +125

This is a good spot to take Santana and the Twins as they face off against the White Sox. The White Sox come In with two very big problems.

1) They can’t hit lefties and have hit just .211 against them this year and will be hard pressed to put up runs against one of the leagues best.

2) Bullpen woes. The White Sox pen has been plain awful in the last three appearances with an ERA over 7 and a WHIP just under two.

If you’re looking for a weak spot for Contreras look no further than in day games when he posts his highest ERA then in any other scenario and without much run support against the Twins ace it could be a very long day for White Sox backers.

When MINNESOTA team played as a Home team - Vs. Right handed pitchers - 1st game of a series - Coming off a 1 game win - Coming off a day game they are 18-8

When CHI WHITE SOX team Played as Road team as a Underdog - During the month of May - 1st game of a series - Coming off a day game - Coming off a series loss they are 2-11

When CHI WHITE SOX team Played as Road team as a Underdog - Vs. Left handed pitchers - After a non division game - Scored 5 or more runs FOR in their last game - Coming off a day game they are 6-17

Play Against
Any team (CHI WHITE SOX)
poor AL hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start

85-50 over the last 5 seasons.
63.0% (37.0 units)