Florida +116

Before you line up and jump on the Phillies and the over tonight consider this fact. The phillies hit lefties 29 points lower than righties while the fish hit lefties 15 points higher than righties. So when it comes to a team that can hit lefthanders in a lefty/lefty matchup, the home dog looks very inviting. They also are the hotter of two teams and have dominant bullpen numbers so for me there is not much more to look at.

Play AgainstAny team (PHILADELPHIA)with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.550 to 1.650 on the season-NL379-270 since 1997.58.4% (108.8 units)

When FLORIDA team played as a Home team - During a night game - Before a division game - Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher - Coming off a Road win they are 13-5

When PHILADELPHIA team played as a Road team - During a night game - Before a division game - Coming off a 1 game win - Coming off a day game they are 7-13

Kansas City +147

Hold your nose for this stinker but hear me out. Perez has pitched great for this team this year. An impressive WHIP under 1 and ERA under 3 and his last two starts against the tribe he yielded two runs or less so it is not such a stretch to say this dog will hunt in this game tonight or at least get off the porch. Add in the fact that the tribe struggles against leftys hitting just 18 points less against them than righties.

The Royals have won 4 out of the last 5 and the bullpen numbers are much better than the tribes. • Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. • Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog. • Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. • Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.• Indians are 9-21 in their last 30 road games vs. a left-handed starter. • Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.Also like Pittsburgh and Colorado but will stick with these and the possible overs for now.