Late Card

7 games at the 7:05 area so I thought I would take some time and break them down and try to find a winner here and there.

I will start in Philly were the Tigers are in town and fresh off a stomping over this Philly team last night.

Philly -105

In a lefty vs lefty meeting Miller will try to keep is impressive start going on, but I am not so sure it will happen. It could be stated the reason he has done so well is because he is getting 14 runs of support on average in his starts. Miller will be in for some trouble when he heads to Philly for a road start in a hitters park.

When PHILADELPHIA team Played as Home team as a Favorite - 2nd game of a series - Vs Non Division Opponent - Coming off a 3 game over - Coming off a Home loss they are 10-0

When PHILADELPHIA team played as a -100 to -120 Home Favorite - During a night game - 2nd game of a series - Coming off a lost in game 1 of a series - Coming off a night game they are 17-7

When PHILADELPHIA team played as a Home team - 2nd game of a series - After a non division game - Coming off a 1 game loss - Coming off a Home loss they are 21-13

When DETROIT team played as a Road team - During a night game - Last 5 years - Coming off a night game - Coming off a 2 game over they are 7-23

When DETROIT team Played as Road team as a Underdog - Playing on Saturday - After a non division game - Coming off a Road win - Coming off a Road win as a Favorite they are 6-19

Play Against
Road teams (DETROIT)
excellent fielding team - averaging <=0.5 errors/game on the season, after a combined score of 17 runs or more

148-82 over the last 5 seasons.
64.3% (53.7 units)

I look for the crafty veteran to pitch a nice one as the Philly bats light up Miller.

Chicago White Sox/Pittsburgh Over 8.5

The wind is blowing out for this game so Mother Nature is doing her part. Most of the time the first thing I talk about is the starters but today I am going to start with the bullpen. Both of these pens have had serious troubles holding leads and overall just doing a decent job. They both have high ERA’s over 6 in the last three outings.

Buehrle is a starter that could keep the pen out of this but know that he has only gone more than 7 innings twice in his last nine starts and the Pirates hit left-handers better than they do right-handers so they will be able to get some runs against him. Van Benschoten goes for the Bucs and he has not started since ’04 and it is safe to say that the pen will get a shot in this one.

Cooper is behind the plate and he has seen 8 of his 12 games go over the total. He backs that up with some good umpire trends.

Over is 21-6-3 in Cooper's last 30 Saturday games behind home plate.
Over is 5-0 in Cooper's last 5 interleague games behind home plate
Over is 6-1-1 in Cooper's last 8 games behind home plate.

Of course I have more trends to back it up as well.

When PITTSBURGH team played as a Home team - During the month of June - 2nd game of a series - Coming off a night game - Coming off a 1 game win the over is 8-2-1

When ANY MLB team Played as Home team as a Underdog - During a night game - Playing on Saturday - Coming off a Home win as a Underdog - Allowed 2 runs or more AGAINST in their last game the over is 75-45 (PITT)

Over is 7-2 in White Sox last 9 interleague road games.
Over is 7-2 in White Sox last 9 games as a road favorite
Over is 6-2-4 in White Sox last 12 during game 2 of a series.
Over is 9-3 in White Sox last 12 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Over is 33-16-1 in White Sox last 50 interleague games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Over is 8-1 in Pirates last 9 Saturday games.
Over is 7-1-1 in Pirates last 9 interleague games as an underdog.
Over is 7-1 in Pirates last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 9-2-1 in Pirates last 12 games following a win.
Over is 13-3-1 in Pirates last 17 during game 2 of a series.
Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 vs. American League Central.
Over is 8-2-1 in Pirates last 11 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 games a home underdog.
Over is 8-2-1 in Pirates last 11 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 8-2-1 in Pirates last 11 interleague games.
Over is 6-2 in Pirates last 8 interleague home games.
Over is 25-9-3 in Pirates last 37 games as an underdog.
Over is 8-3-1 in Pirates last 12 overall.
Over is 8-3-1 in Pirates last 12 on Grass.
Under is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 9-4-1 in Pirates last 14 vs. a team with a losing record.

Passing on Houston /Seattle, but the only play I could see that I thought about taking was the Astros. They have the edge in almost every category today, but I have yet to start trusting this team.