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Sunday, June 10, 2007

Rest of MLB Today

Philly/KC Over 10+100
The scoreboard operator will be tired watching this one today as both teams will put up plenty of runs. The royals can stack the lineup with lefties and get some runs off the soft throwing Moyer and the phillies lineup is potent as ever.

When PHILADELPHIA team Played as Road team as a Favorite - After a non division game - Last 5 years - Coming off a Road win - Coming off 1 under the over is 10-2

Washington +180

The twins are not playing good baseball right now and they are surely not good enough to drop 2-1 whether they are trying to avoid a sweep or not. The Twins have trouble hitting lefties and the pitching numbers are solid enough for the Nationals to take them here.

Play Against
Any team (MINNESOTA)
poor power team (<=0.9 HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 1or more HR's/start, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing

135-87 since 1997.
60.8% (52.0 units)

Seattle +124

Seattle is another team that is playing better than the opposition tonight and had a come from behind win last night. That is the kind of thing that inspires a team the next time out. When you can get this ace at plus money you have to take a shot. Hernandez lost in a pitching duel the first time against the Padres this year, this time he ends up on the winning side.

When SAN DIEGO team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Playing on Sunday - Vs Non Division Opponent - Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher - Coming off a lost in game 2 of a series they are 3-11

Dodgers -107

This should be a great game to watch today. I am a bit hesitant to go with the blue who very well could have won last night but could not get the clutch hit at the right time. After his return from a stint in the minors to rehab Schmidt looked great his last time out and will be ready in a duel of the aces.

When LOS ANGELES team played as a Home team - Before a non division game - During the month of June - Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite - Coming off a Home loss they are 22-9

When LOS ANGELES team played as a Home team - After a non division game - During the month of June - Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite - Coming off a 1 game loss they are 13-4

When TORONTO team played as a Road team - During a day game - Last 2 years - Scored 1 or more runs FOR in their last game - Coming off a night game they are 11-29

Arizona +108

I have been fading Dice K for the last couple of times out and I have no problem doing it again with the big unit on the hill. Randy will want payback against the sox after they basically ran him out of New York by beating him up when they faced him. Randy is much more comfortable at home in Arizona and will get plenty of run support.

When BOSTON team played as a Road team - During the month of June - Last 5 years - Coming off 1 under - Coming off a night game they are 3-11

When BOSTON team played as a Road team - Vs Non Conference Opponent - During the month of June - Allowed 3 runs or less AGAINST in their last game - Coming off a night game they are 7-14
Play Against
Road teams (BOSTON)
good offensive team - scoring >=5.2 runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 3 runs or less 3 straight games

44-23 over the last 5 seasons.
65.7% (26.4 units)

I am also going to add a play on the under 8 -105 because of one great trend:

When BOSTON team played as a Road team - During a day game - 3rd game of a series - Coming off a Road win - Coming off a Road win as a Favorite the under is 24-6


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