Night Card Seven Selections!
Late card:
National league:
Over 9 Philly / Mets
Eaton has not done well on the year and his high ERA has shown that he has been hittable. Hernandez has done very well in his last three outings but he has not faced a tough line up like the Phils have to offer and they are getting clutch hits when they need it. Wind is blowing out to the right and that will lead to plenty of runs and the long ball.
When PHILADELPHIA team Played as Road team as a Underdog - During the month of June - Coming off vs. National League opponent - Coming off a Road win - Coming off a 1 game win the over is 9-2-2
Reds +105
I will always take a look at Arroyo has a dog when he gets the start. His last three starts have been horrible and that has forced him to take a closer look at his game and his delivery and improve on it. He has allowed just one run or less in three of his last four starts against the red Birds and will get the win tonight.
Play AgainstHome teams (ST LOUIS)with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), in June games142-108 since 1997.56.8% (58.7 units)
Houston/Colorado Over 10 +100
This is one of my favorite plays of the night and its all about the weather in this game. The area is calling for high winds and fortunately for us that means they are blowing out of the park in what is already a hitter friendly park. Both starting pitchers have high ERA’s in the last three and the bullpen will not provide much relief, this one will be over the total by the fifth inning.
When HOUSTON team played as a Road team - During a night game - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Scored 4 or more runs FOR in their last game - Coming off a Win vs. NL WEST opponent the over is 20-10
We have an over friendly umpire in this one as well.
Over is 14-5-2 in Bucknor's last 21 Wednesday games behind home plate
Over is 5-1 in Bucknor's last 6 games behind home plate vs. Colorado
Giants +155
This one is too hard to pass up. The price is very nice and Morris has better numbers than webb and the bullpen numbers are better for the giants than for the snakes. Giants have proved to be a great underdog in this spot so I will take a shot.
Giants are 8-2 in their last 10 games as an underdog of +151 to +200
American league:
National league:
Over 9 Philly / Mets
Eaton has not done well on the year and his high ERA has shown that he has been hittable. Hernandez has done very well in his last three outings but he has not faced a tough line up like the Phils have to offer and they are getting clutch hits when they need it. Wind is blowing out to the right and that will lead to plenty of runs and the long ball.
When PHILADELPHIA team Played as Road team as a Underdog - During the month of June - Coming off vs. National League opponent - Coming off a Road win - Coming off a 1 game win the over is 9-2-2
Reds +105
I will always take a look at Arroyo has a dog when he gets the start. His last three starts have been horrible and that has forced him to take a closer look at his game and his delivery and improve on it. He has allowed just one run or less in three of his last four starts against the red Birds and will get the win tonight.
Play AgainstHome teams (ST LOUIS)with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), in June games142-108 since 1997.56.8% (58.7 units)
Houston/Colorado Over 10 +100
This is one of my favorite plays of the night and its all about the weather in this game. The area is calling for high winds and fortunately for us that means they are blowing out of the park in what is already a hitter friendly park. Both starting pitchers have high ERA’s in the last three and the bullpen will not provide much relief, this one will be over the total by the fifth inning.
When HOUSTON team played as a Road team - During a night game - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Scored 4 or more runs FOR in their last game - Coming off a Win vs. NL WEST opponent the over is 20-10
We have an over friendly umpire in this one as well.
Over is 14-5-2 in Bucknor's last 21 Wednesday games behind home plate
Over is 5-1 in Bucknor's last 6 games behind home plate vs. Colorado
Giants +155
This one is too hard to pass up. The price is very nice and Morris has better numbers than webb and the bullpen numbers are better for the giants than for the snakes. Giants have proved to be a great underdog in this spot so I will take a shot.
Giants are 8-2 in their last 10 games as an underdog of +151 to +200
American league:
Three dog night: Woof!
Tampa Bay -101
Anyone who took the Rays last night still has to be smarting from the meltdown in the ninth, but it won’t happen tonight with Kazmir on the Hill. Kazmir has better numbers in his last three starts and he will be a dog by the time first pitch rolls around. We have an umpire that favors the road teams and some decent trends to back this up.
Road team is 12-5 in Cousins' last 17 Wednesday games behind home plate.
Road team is 5-2 in Cousins' last 7 games behind home plate.
Road team is 5-0 in Cousins' last 5 Wednesday games behind home plate vs. Tampa Bay.
Road team is 4-0 in Cousins' last 4 games behind home plate vs. Tampa Bay
Devil Rays are 5-1 in Kazmir's last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game
Texas +143
Anyone else notice that the Tigers are not playing good baseball? Millwood is still technically the ace of this staff and to get hit at this price is too good to pass up.
When TEXAS team played as a Home team - Vs AL Conference - During a night game - Coming off a Win vs. AL CENTRAL opponent - Coming off a 1 game win they are 30-17
When DETROIT team played as a Road team - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Last 5 years - Coming off a Loss vs. AL WEST opponent - Coming off a 1 game loss they are 4-11
Play AgainstRoad teams (DETROIT)red hot hitting team - batting .315 or better over their last 15 games, in June games46-22 since 1997.67.6% (25.0 units)
Oakland +115
The same thing that I said about Detroit I could say about Boston. The travel put them in a funk and they are playing sluggish and got shut out by a southpaw last night and why anyone would back them tonight is beyond me. The A’s are getting the clutch hits at the right time and getting great bullpen work. Kennedy’s numbers are much better in the last three stars than Wakefield’s and we have a home umpire. The A’s ae one of the best home teams in June in the last five years.
When OAKLAND team played as a Home team - Vs AL Conference - Playing on Wednesday - Coming off 1 under - Coming off a Home win they are 11-5
When BOSTON team Played as Road team as a Favorite - During a night game - Last 2 years - Coming off a Road loss - Coming off a lost in game 2 of a series they are 3-7
Play OnHome teams (OAKLAND)with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 3 starts99-54 over the last 5 seasons.64.7% (41.4 units)
Tampa Bay -101
Anyone who took the Rays last night still has to be smarting from the meltdown in the ninth, but it won’t happen tonight with Kazmir on the Hill. Kazmir has better numbers in his last three starts and he will be a dog by the time first pitch rolls around. We have an umpire that favors the road teams and some decent trends to back this up.
Road team is 12-5 in Cousins' last 17 Wednesday games behind home plate.
Road team is 5-2 in Cousins' last 7 games behind home plate.
Road team is 5-0 in Cousins' last 5 Wednesday games behind home plate vs. Tampa Bay.
Road team is 4-0 in Cousins' last 4 games behind home plate vs. Tampa Bay
Devil Rays are 5-1 in Kazmir's last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game
Texas +143
Anyone else notice that the Tigers are not playing good baseball? Millwood is still technically the ace of this staff and to get hit at this price is too good to pass up.
When TEXAS team played as a Home team - Vs AL Conference - During a night game - Coming off a Win vs. AL CENTRAL opponent - Coming off a 1 game win they are 30-17
When DETROIT team played as a Road team - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Last 5 years - Coming off a Loss vs. AL WEST opponent - Coming off a 1 game loss they are 4-11
Play AgainstRoad teams (DETROIT)red hot hitting team - batting .315 or better over their last 15 games, in June games46-22 since 1997.67.6% (25.0 units)
Oakland +115
The same thing that I said about Detroit I could say about Boston. The travel put them in a funk and they are playing sluggish and got shut out by a southpaw last night and why anyone would back them tonight is beyond me. The A’s are getting the clutch hits at the right time and getting great bullpen work. Kennedy’s numbers are much better in the last three stars than Wakefield’s and we have a home umpire. The A’s ae one of the best home teams in June in the last five years.
When OAKLAND team played as a Home team - Vs AL Conference - Playing on Wednesday - Coming off 1 under - Coming off a Home win they are 11-5
When BOSTON team Played as Road team as a Favorite - During a night game - Last 2 years - Coming off a Road loss - Coming off a lost in game 2 of a series they are 3-7
Play OnHome teams (OAKLAND)with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 3 starts99-54 over the last 5 seasons.64.7% (41.4 units)
posted by Poster @ 1:23 PM
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